Learn the science of collecting information to make effectivedecisions Everyday decisions are made without the benefit of accurateinformation. Optimal...
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Learning develops the needed principlesfor gathering information to make decisions, especially whencollecting information is time-consuming and expensive. Designedfor readers with an elementary background in probability andstatistics, the book presents effective and practical policiesillustrated in a wide range of applications, from energy, homelandsecurity, and transportation to engineering, health, andbusiness.This book covers the fundamental dimensions of a learningproblem and presents a simple method for testing and comparingpolicies for learning. Special attention is given to the knowledgegradient policy and its use with a wide range of belief models,including lookup table and parametric and for online and offlineproblems. Three sections develop ideas with increasing levels ofsophistication:Fundamentals explores fundamental topics, includingadaptive learning, ranking and selection, the knowledge gradient,and bandit problemsExtensions and Applications features coverage of linearbelief models, subset selection models, scalar functionoptimization, optimal bidding, and stopping problemsAdvanced Topics explores complex methods includingsimulation optimization, active learning in mathematicalprogramming, and optimal continuous measurementsEach chapter identifies a specific learning problem, presentsthe related, practical algorithms for implementation, and concludeswith numerous exercises. A related website features additionalapplications and downloadable software, including MATLAB and theOptimal Learning Calculator, a spreadsheet-based package thatprovides an introducÂtion to learning and a variety ofpolicies for learning.
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